Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 13.086226 14.786443 16.753539 19.230001 22.312370 26.090274 31.182997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 11.489585 13.674705 16.425224 20.249591 25.621697 33.239184 45.598089
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.836416 12.046850 14.964876 19.269051 25.796269 36.022066 55.119901
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.916025 11.180161 14.290786 19.120749 26.973569 40.520829 69.887824
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.183609 10.452300 13.669203 18.877744 27.861603 44.760859 87.183728
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.652697 9.935250 13.265028 18.868599 29.095463 50.086151 112.096298
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.272001 9.587820 13.058988 19.125447 30.849183 57.267082 152.076578
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.769802 9.011319 12.428480 18.545972 30.820173 60.312384 183.141218
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.446364 8.675894 12.142382 18.527298 31.934379 66.880339 246.576045
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.040408 8.182361 11.551701 17.864544 31.495552 68.921898 292.663527
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.619341 7.639272 10.837261 16.886547 30.156786 67.710573 314.452578
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.273492 7.195724 10.259518 16.113074 29.170149 67.341521 346.782016
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.413433 7.545735 11.079295 18.241919 35.946602 100.141822 1362.097352
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.339288 7.542397 11.284705 19.170215 40.093531 129.751306 9260.476105
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.019435 7.110377 10.680676 18.266239 38.708813 129.789760 20767.737283
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.828983 6.884468 10.436472 18.129411 39.634563 145.077104 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.643576 6.656086 10.169416 17.905307 40.237556 159.927168 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.499309 6.489572 10.005174 17.896869 41.570684 183.623497 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.394186 6.384146 9.948046 18.133727 43.866786 223.125681 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.210554 6.132627 9.591361 17.599160 43.194897 231.843339 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.095413 5.995912 9.449900 17.581922 44.513115 269.945872 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.925048 5.754278 9.087397 16.969651 43.322577 271.955445 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.732919 5.467742 8.623441 16.064451 40.787303 250.266027 NaN